Week 4 NFL Picks

I'm just catching my legs and this week should be pretty good.  My upset special is the 49ers over the Falcons.

BOOK IT!!!

Against the spread:
Last Week: 7-9
2010 season: 18-27-2

Straight up:

Last Week: 11-5
2010 season: 31-16

San Francisco at Atlanta (-7) – The 49ers typically show up against good teams so it would not surprise me to see the 49ers win especially when they will be running a different offense than the Falcons will prepare for. As bad as the 49ers defense is, they have been good at stopping the run against power backs which is all the Falcons have. Pick: 49ers 28-24

NY Jets (-5) at Buffalo – The Jets have been impressive and even Mark Sanchez looks good. The Bills only chance is to run the ball and the Jets have a stout run defense. Pick: Jets 21-3

Cincinnati (-3) at Cleveland – Cleveland’s ability to hang around some teams has been impressive but the Bengals have a pretty good run defense and will definitely make the Browns one dimensional. Pick: Bengals 28-21

Detroit at Green Bay (-14 ½) – Coming off a devastating loss against a division rival the Packers will come out and try to blow away the Lions. With Stafford still out and Jahvid Best injured the Lions offense will be unable to get much done. Expect Shaun Hill to spend a lot of his day meeting Clay Matthews in the backfield. Pick: Packers 42-20

Carolina at New Orleans (-13 ½) – Jimmy Clausen will start his second game of his NFL career and the Saints defense will have a huge game picking him off. Pick: Saints 28-10

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-1) – The Steelers have been impressive with their defense and ability to win with third and fourth string quarterbacks. Now they meet the Ravens and their defense and Charlie Batch doesn’t look as good. Pick: Ravens 14-13

Seattle (-1) at St. Louis – If Steven Jackson doesn’t play it may actually work out for the Rams, the Seahawks run defense has been pretty good so Sam Bradford should be able to light them up through the air. Pick: Rams 24-21

Denver at Tennessee (-6 ½) – Kyle Orton has been incredible this season. He is averaging 359 pass yards a game with a passer rating of 97.4. Chris Johnson hasn’t been Chris Johnson. Pick: Titans 17-16

Indianapolis (-7 ½) at Jacksonville – It doesn’t matter if it’s in Jacksonville. The Colts are hot and Austin Collie will have another 10 catches against the Jags. Pick: Colts 35-10

Houston (-3) at Oakland – Arian Foster should be able to have another huge game against the Raiders but so should Darren McFadden against the Texans. No quarterback needed in this game. Pick: Texans 20-14

Washington at Philadelphia (-6) – If Santa was booed in Philly, then so will McNabb. Michael Vick wins the Vick vs. McNabb showdown. Pick: Eagles 28-24

Arizona at San Diego (-8) – Disappointing year for the Chargers. Special teams are a disaster for the Bolts and Fitzgerald gets on track with Derek Anderson. Pick: Cardinals 21-14

Chicago at NY Giants (-4) – The Bears are impressive; I am very surprised that Cutler has not been sacked more. Martz is doing a hell of a job. Pick: Bears 21-17

New England (-1) at Miami – I have been impressed with the Dolphins defense and not so much with their offense. Good thing that the Pats defense is awful. Pick: Dolphins 35-31